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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+6.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+6.42vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+5.50vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+2.60vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.02vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.16+2.25vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.68vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.49-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.03+3.59vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame1.92+3.22vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.14vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-3.69vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.07-0.69vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University3.43-7.08vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.30-7.39vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.14-3.67vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.93-3.92vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.03-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.6Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.02Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.25Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.68Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.59University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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13.22University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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7.86St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.31Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.31University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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6.92Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.61U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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12.33University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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13.08Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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15.41Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| John Hanna | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 8.7% |
| Christian Cyrul | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.5% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Scott Ewing | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 12.5% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.