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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+6.41vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+6.04vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+5.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+2.88vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+3.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+1.68vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.69vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.14+3.27vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.79vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.49-3.91vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.93+1.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-4.89vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.07-1.86vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame1.92-2.02vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.03-3.25vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.03-1.41vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.53-11.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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6.88Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.69Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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6.63Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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12.27University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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8.21Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.23Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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12.14University of South Florida2.070.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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15.59Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| John Hanna | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 5.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 13.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Scott Ewing | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 8.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 46.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.