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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.24vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.13vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+1.35vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+6.06vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+1.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.15+3.75vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10+0.75vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.44vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-1.57vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.10-1.47vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.12+0.63vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.97-2.80vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.25vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-0.64+0.42vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.52-2.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.52vs Predicted
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18Christopher Newport University0.65-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Georgetown University2.208.5%1st Place
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3.13Stanford University3.3027.9%1st Place
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4.35Yale University2.7114.5%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island0.992.6%1st Place
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6.9University of Pennsylvania1.776.7%1st Place
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9.75Tufts University1.153.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College2.105.5%1st Place
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7.56Jacksonville University-1.386.4%1st Place
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7.43College of Charleston1.817.0%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.104.2%1st Place
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11.5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.7%1st Place
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12.63Clemson University0.121.5%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University0.973.4%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.9%1st Place
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15.42University of Michigan-0.640.4%1st Place
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13.85Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
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12.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.1%1st Place
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12.44Christopher Newport University0.652.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.9% | 21.4% | 16.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Young | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emily Allen | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 4.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 41.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 17.6% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 8.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.