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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.70+2.44vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.33+2.17vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.23+4.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.24+3.06vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.09vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.60+5.43vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+1.76vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.01-2.93vs Predicted
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9Monmouth University1.95-1.12vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.99-4.84vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.68+0.20vs Predicted
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13Drexel University0.55-1.29vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.21-1.57vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.32-1.82vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.04-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.17Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.04George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.06SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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3.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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11.43Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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8.76Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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7.88Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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11.2University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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11.71Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.43Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.18William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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7.58Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 22.3% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 15.2% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 18.2% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 18.2% | 10.3% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.0% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| George Prieto | 10.3% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 9.8% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 13.6% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 22.1% | 24.4% |
| Efe Brock | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 20.4% | 40.5% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.