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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University3.43+6.10vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+4.78vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.20+8.97vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+1.60vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.53+0.53vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.14+4.93vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16-0.21vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.94-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.03+2.57vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.17-2.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.37vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-4.78vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.93-1.61vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.27-3.60vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-8.04vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.03-1.53vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame1.92-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.97Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.93University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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7.79Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College2.940.0%1st Place
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12.57University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University3.170.1%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.22Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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12.39Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.4University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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15.47Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.62University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alden Grimes | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.8% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Hanna | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 9.5% |
| John Whitehead | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.3% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 47.0% |
| Christian Cyrul | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.