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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+7.27vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.30+6.02vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan2.03+9.93vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+2.96vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+1.82vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+2.79vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.53-0.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-0.96vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.93+4.09vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.41vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.27+0.99vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.56-4.85vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-5.75vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame1.92-1.22vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-6.63vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.03-0.34vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii2.14-4.44vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-10.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.79Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.04Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.09Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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11.99University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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7.15Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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7.25Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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8.37Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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15.66Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.56University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 17.3% | 9.8% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Hanna | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 11.5% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| John Whitehead | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% |
| Romain Screve | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 11.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 47.3% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.