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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+7.33vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.27vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.27+9.09vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.32vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43+2.30vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.16+2.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.87vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-1.27vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-2.10vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.14+2.59vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.56-3.98vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.93+1.36vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-5.99vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-5.46vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.12vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.03-0.38vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.03-4.12vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame1.92-5.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.09University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.3Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.39Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.87U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.73Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.59University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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7.02Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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13.36Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.54Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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15.62Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.88University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Whitehead | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 5.1% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Romain Screve | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 15.5% | 46.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 10.3% |
| Christian Cyrul | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.