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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+6.98vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+5.22vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.56+3.95vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16+4.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+3.30vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.93+7.09vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+0.10vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-1.28vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.26vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-2.42vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-2.06vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-4.77vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.92-0.08vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.27-2.46vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.89-1.80vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.24-7.93vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.03-1.37vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.03-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.22Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.95Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.09Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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7.1Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.58Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.94Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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11.54University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Hawaii1.890.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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15.63Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.53University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Romain Screve | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 10.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% |
| John Whitehead | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 5.0% |
| Mathew Butler | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 14.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 18.7% | 45.2% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.