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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+7.12vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+6.60vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.56+3.93vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+2.78vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University3.43+2.21vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+0.80vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.30+0.75vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-0.99vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24-1.02vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.35vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-2.08vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan2.03+0.97vs Predicted
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13University of Notre Dame1.92-0.08vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.89-1.15vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-2.00vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.27-4.09vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.49-9.83vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.03-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.6Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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6.93Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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6.78Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.21Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.8Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.01Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.98Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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8.92Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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12.97University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Hawaii1.890.0%1st Place
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13.0Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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11.91University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.44Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McCarthy | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Romain Screve | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| John Hanna | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% |
| Jenna Probst | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.6% |
| Christian Cyrul | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 11.7% |
| Mathew Butler | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| John Whitehead | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 18.0% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.