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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.56+6.01vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.25+6.27vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University3.43+4.44vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+2.80vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+3.01vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.56+0.82vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.27+3.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.16-0.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.16-1.39vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.02vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-4.61vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-4.33vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University1.03+1.44vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-1.95vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii2.14-3.50vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.03-4.08vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame1.92-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Naval Academy3.250.1%1st Place
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7.44Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.01Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.82Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.74University of South Florida2.270.0%1st Place
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8.33Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.160.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.67Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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15.44Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.05Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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12.5University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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12.92University of Michigan2.030.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Notre Dame1.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain Screve | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Bayless | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Whitehead | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 6.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Carrson Pearce | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| John Hanna | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 45.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.7% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.0% |
| Jenna Probst | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 11.2% |
| Christian Cyrul | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.