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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.24+5.98vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+1.38vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+1.19vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.99+0.19vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.23+1.15vs Predicted
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7Christopher Newport University1.61+1.80vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia3.01-4.00vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University1.95-2.03vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.60+0.43vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.55-0.28vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.68-1.64vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.21-2.77vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.32-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.98SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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3.38Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.19Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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3.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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5.19U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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7.15George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.8Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.62Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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7.97Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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11.43Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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11.72Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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12.23Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.12William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schoene | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brady Stagg | 21.9% | 22.5% | 15.9% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 14.9% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 18.1% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Stessing | 9.7% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 12.8% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 12.7% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 22.5% | 20.3% |
| Efe Brock | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.