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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+5.38vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.18vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.10+4.80vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.99+6.09vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71-0.65vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University-1.38+1.74vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+6.68vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.10+0.39vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-1.41vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+2.40vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.15-1.50vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.15vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-2.05vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-3.86vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.65-2.30vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.12-3.46vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-5.47vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.64-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Georgetown University2.208.1%1st Place
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3.18Stanford University3.3027.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College2.106.4%1st Place
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10.09University of Rhode Island0.993.4%1st Place
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4.35Yale University2.7115.3%1st Place
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7.74Jacksonville University-1.385.9%1st Place
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13.68Connecticut College0.521.1%1st Place
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8.39Harvard University2.103.9%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston1.815.2%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.1%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University1.153.6%1st Place
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6.85University of Pennsylvania1.777.5%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.8%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University0.973.0%1st Place
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12.7Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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12.54Clemson University0.121.4%1st Place
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11.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.3%1st Place
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15.2University of Michigan-0.640.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.0% | 21.9% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.3% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 7.8% |
| Ella Hubbard | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 9.2% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 41.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.