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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+5.88vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.56vs Predicted
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33.69+1.97vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.46+5.01vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-0.18vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.60+2.67vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97+0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.28+1.77vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.07-2.20vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.16+0.56vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-3.64vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-4.44vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-0.50vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-2.62vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.94-0.66vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.28-2.59vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.24-3.44vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.37-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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4.973.690.1%1st Place
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9.01Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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4.82Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.67Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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10.56University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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12.5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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14.34Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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15.55Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 12.7% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 16.0% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Christian Filter | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Sager | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 6.8% |
| Luke Welker | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Will Davies | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 18.9% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 12.3% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 13.6% |
| Chandler Sharp | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.