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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.69+4.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+4.87vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+4.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+0.80vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.60+3.59vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.16+4.35vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.28+1.79vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University2.55-0.14vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.75-1.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-4.89vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.96-4.38vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University0.94+1.21vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame1.24-0.76vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-2.30vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.37-0.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78-5.09vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.28-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Georgetown University3.690.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.09Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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4.8Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.59Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.35University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.43St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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8.86Jacksonville University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.62Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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14.21Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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12.7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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15.78Western Washington University0.370.0%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 13.4% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 15.8% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brad Seferian | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Charlotte Rose | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matt Safford | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGraw | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Will Davies | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 19.1% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 10.1% |
| Jonathan Sager | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.6% |
| Chandler Sharp | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 44.6% |
| Luke Welker | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.