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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+4.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+4.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.35+2.45vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94+2.60vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28+4.07vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.18-0.06vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.78+3.95vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.92-1.30vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+0.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.75-2.37vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.88-0.24vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.06vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-1.13vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame0.45+0.92vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.60-7.12vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.28-3.21vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.12-1.14vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University0.94-4.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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6.21Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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6.6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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5.94Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.780.0%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.58University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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10.76Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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11.87Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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14.92University of Notre Dame0.450.0%1st Place
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7.88Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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15.86Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
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13.62Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 12.9% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 12.6% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Welker | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.5% |
| Max Clapp | 7.6% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Matt Safford | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Sager | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Peter Pillari | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 23.5% | 26.9% |
| Brad Seferian | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 6.2% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 45.7% |
| Will Davies | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.