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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.33+3.25vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.01+2.95vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.02vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.70-0.57vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.60+6.39vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.04+1.66vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.23+0.09vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-4.11vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.24-1.94vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University1.95-2.03vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.55+0.56vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.61-2.99vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.68-1.63vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.21-2.77vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.32-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.25Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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5.02U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.43Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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11.39Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.66Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.09George Washington University2.230.1%1st Place
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3.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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7.06SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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7.97Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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11.56Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.01Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.37University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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12.23Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.14William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 15.8% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.3% | 12.2% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 22.3% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 11.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kayla McComb | 16.8% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Paul Stevens | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Edward Doran | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 11.3% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 24.9% | 19.4% |
| Efe Brock | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 42.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.