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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.18+5.01vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.14+4.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.92+3.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.46+0.98vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49+6.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.15+3.66vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-1.65vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.28+4.54vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+0.54vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University0.94+3.85vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.60-2.93vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.28-2.60vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.48vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.75-6.86vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.56-3.35vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-5.35vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame0.45-1.84vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.12-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.92Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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4.98Stanford University3.460.2%1st Place
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11.84Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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5.35Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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12.54University of Michigan1.280.0%1st Place
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9.54University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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13.85Northwestern University0.940.0%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Hawaii2.280.0%1st Place
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6.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.1%1st Place
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7.14Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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11.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.560.0%1st Place
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10.65Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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15.16University of Notre Dame0.450.0%1st Place
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15.58Western Washington University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Steadman | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McCoy | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Clapp | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Sager | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 13.2% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Goulet | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 5.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Davies | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 17.9% | 12.9% |
| Brad Seferian | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Lewis Cooper | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Adam Krzeszowski | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Peter Pillari | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 23.0% | 29.5% |
| Niko Twilla | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 19.7% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.