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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+7.36vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.71vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+2.38vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+3.76vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.78vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.75-0.24vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.45+3.27vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.24+2.77vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69+3.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.66vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.24-6.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-2.82vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.89vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.69-1.07vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.22-3.80vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.95-1.39vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-7.63vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota1.57-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.76Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.76College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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10.27Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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12.93Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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4.28Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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9.11University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.93Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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14.61University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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9.37Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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13.2University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 11.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 18.6% | 16.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 45.4% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 20.0% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.