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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.66vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.90vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+2.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.35vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.45+4.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.81-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.79vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.69+3.94vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.24+0.04vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.70-2.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-3.70vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.22-2.84vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.57-1.93vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-7.34vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-4.06vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.95-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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4.25Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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5.38Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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12.94Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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9.25Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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13.07University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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8.66Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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12.94Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.72University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 19.1% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 19.6% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 45.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.