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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+2.95vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+5.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.79vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+3.60vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+0.16vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.85vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.89+0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.50vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.45+0.05vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.70-1.69vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-2.91vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.95+1.66vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.22-2.93vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.57-2.04vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.69-3.23vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-4.23vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin2.24-7.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.16College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.6Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.16Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.31Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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14.66University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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11.07University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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12.96University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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12.77Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.77Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 12.9% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 17.9% | 45.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.