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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.53vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.45+8.05vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+1.04vs Predicted
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4Florida State University1.69+8.74vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.67vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+1.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.40vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14-0.60vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.24+2.08vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-0.96vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.09vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota1.57+1.11vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.89-4.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-4.77vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.81-9.70vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.69-3.26vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.22-6.07vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.95-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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10.05Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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4.04Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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12.74Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.32College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.4Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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9.04Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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13.11University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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8.58Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.23University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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5.3Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.74Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 18.6% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 17.5% | 43.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.