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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.15vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.23+5.14vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+5.46vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.11vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.80+3.01vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.45+3.12vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-1.31vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.22+2.08vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-2.55vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.24-1.99vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.57-0.82vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.69-2.36vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.69-3.36vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.95-2.30vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.70-8.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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7.14College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.46Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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4.11Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.01University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.69Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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7.45Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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13.18University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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12.64Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.64Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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9.26Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 15.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 19.7% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 18.5% | 42.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.