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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.24+9.58vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.89+6.35vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.60vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+3.54vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-1.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.22+3.90vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+0.24vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.23-2.91vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.57+2.16vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-1.97vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.95+1.63vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.70-4.75vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.53-8.87vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-7.22vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-4.32vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.69-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.58University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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8.35Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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7.54Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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3.94Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.43U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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7.09College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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13.16University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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10.03Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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14.63University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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9.25Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.13Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.68Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.68Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 21.8% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 45.9% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.