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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.99+4.01vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.70+1.40vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+1.21vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.23+3.08vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.24+2.14vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-2.17vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.83vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-0.36vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+2.40vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01-4.84vs Predicted
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11Drexel University0.55+0.54vs Predicted
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12Christopher Newport University1.61-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland0.68-1.62vs Predicted
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15Princeton University0.21-2.76vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.32-2.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.4Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.21Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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7.08George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.14SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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3.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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7.83Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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7.64Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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11.4Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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5.16University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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11.54Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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8.99Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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12.24Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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13.16William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Prieto | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 22.3% | 21.1% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 16.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schoene | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 16.8% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 16.1% | 8.7% |
| Christopher Stessing | 9.7% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Doran | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 17.4% | 14.2% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 23.1% | 21.0% |
| Efe Brock | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.