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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.71+3.33vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+1.25vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-1.38+4.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20+2.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.10+3.61vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+6.19vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.77-0.19vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.10-0.19vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.81-1.43vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.97+0.25vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.12+1.38vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.52+1.83vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.99-3.00vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.43vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.15-5.52vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.05vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University0.65-4.29vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.64-2.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Yale University2.7117.9%1st Place
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3.25Stanford University3.3027.0%1st Place
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7.7Jacksonville University-1.385.8%1st Place
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6.32Georgetown University2.209.1%1st Place
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8.61Harvard University2.104.4%1st Place
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12.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.2%1st Place
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6.81University of Pennsylvania1.776.8%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College2.104.7%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston1.815.7%1st Place
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10.25Old Dominion University0.972.8%1st Place
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12.38Clemson University0.121.6%1st Place
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13.83Connecticut College0.520.9%1st Place
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10.0University of Rhode Island0.992.2%1st Place
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11.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.671.6%1st Place
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9.48Tufts University1.154.1%1st Place
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10.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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12.71Christopher Newport University0.651.2%1st Place
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15.25University of Michigan-0.640.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.0% | 19.9% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Allen | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cordelia Burn | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 7.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emma Tallman | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.8% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 18.9% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.1% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 16.7% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.