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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.37vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+6.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+0.90vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+3.57vs Predicted
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5Florida State University1.69+7.54vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+0.85vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.28vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.53-1.97vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.23-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.35vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.22+0.02vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.45-1.99vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-3.70vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.24-3.04vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.89-6.57vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.57-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.95-2.26vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.69-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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3.9Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.57Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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12.54Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.03Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.32College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.3Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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8.43Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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13.1University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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14.74University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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12.54Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 20.6% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 19.6% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 47.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.