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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+5.04vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+6.65vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.90vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+4.14vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.22+5.47vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.23+0.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.33-0.57vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.24+2.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.88vs Predicted
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10Florida State University1.69+2.49vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.14-3.66vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.53-6.20vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.45-3.02vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota1.57-0.98vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.19vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.95-1.40vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.70-8.10vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.69-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.14Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.43Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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7.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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12.49Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.34Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.8Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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9.81University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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14.6University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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8.9Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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12.49Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 12.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 10.4% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 15.9% | 43.7% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.