← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.76vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.12vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.44+6.77vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.20+3.06vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.45+4.60vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.33+0.63vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University1.69+5.46vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.53-2.25vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-0.04vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University2.89-2.02vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University3.14-3.70vs Predicted
-
12Tulane University2.70-3.17vs Predicted
-
13University of Washington0.95+1.56vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.24-3.26vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.23-8.17vs Predicted
-
16University of Minnesota1.57-3.05vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami2.22-6.30vs Predicted
-
18Florida State University1.69-5.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.77University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
7.06Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.6Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
-
6.63Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.46Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.75Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
-
7.98Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
7.3Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.83Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
-
14.56University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
-
10.74University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
-
6.83College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
12.95University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
-
10.7University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
-
12.46Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 17.8% | 44.9% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.