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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.89vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.21vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+4.94vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+2.69vs Predicted
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5Cornell University3.14+1.78vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+3.77vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin2.24+3.47vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.22+1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Minnesota1.57+2.73vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University3.53-5.23vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.37vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.70-4.20vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.69-1.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-5.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-7.44vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.69-4.52vs Predicted
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18University of Washington0.95-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.69College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.78Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.77Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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6.68Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
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5.77Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.8Tulane University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.48Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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8.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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12.48Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.52University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 11.8% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 45.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.