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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+4.99vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+3.54vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.82vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.22+6.52vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+1.56vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14+1.15vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+2.60vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.33-1.76vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.24+1.62vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.70-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.22vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-4.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.95+0.55vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.69-2.64vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.69-3.64vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-7.62vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota1.57-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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5.54Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Miami2.220.0%1st Place
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6.56College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.15Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.6Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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6.24Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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8.49Tulane University2.700.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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14.55University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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12.36Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.36Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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12.8University of Minnesota1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hector Guzman | 11.0% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Turigliatto | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Carl Eaton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.