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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+6.04vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+4.21vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+3.28vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.93+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12+2.02vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.22vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07+2.67vs Predicted
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9Tulane University1.65+3.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-1.86vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.65-3.21vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.20-2.37vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.23vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.53-2.36vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.37-2.82vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota0.34-1.54vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.37-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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6.21College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.28Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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4.57Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.02University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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5.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.06Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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12.44Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.14Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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10.63Cornell University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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13.18Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
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13.18Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.0% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 10.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Shachoy | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 19.1% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 8.3% | 15.2% | 57.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 14.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.