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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.70+2.46vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+2.97vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.33+1.18vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia3.01+0.13vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.60+5.41vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.24+0.07vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.23-0.85vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.04-1.43vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.61-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland0.68+0.19vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University1.95-4.94vs Predicted
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14Drexel University0.55-2.34vs Predicted
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15William and Mary-0.32-1.79vs Predicted
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16Princeton University0.21-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.97U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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4.18Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
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3.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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5.13University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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11.41Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.07SUNY Maritime College2.240.1%1st Place
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7.15George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.57Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.85Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.19University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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8.06Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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11.66Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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13.21William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
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12.26Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Stagg | 22.7% | 19.6% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Prieto | 10.2% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 15.1% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 18.5% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 10.9% |
| Matthew Schoene | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 15.4% | 9.6% |
| Paul Stevens | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Edward Doran | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 13.6% |
| Efe Brock | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 42.2% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 23.5% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.