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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+2.16vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+2.26vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston1.81+4.55vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.77+2.88vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.97+5.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.10+2.58vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.93+3.77vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University-1.38-0.64vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.99+0.91vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.20-3.86vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.10-3.19vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.12+0.46vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University0.65-0.46vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.52-0.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-4.46vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-0.64-0.70vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-4.69vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Stanford University3.3025.8%1st Place
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4.26Yale University2.7117.2%1st Place
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7.55College of Charleston1.816.2%1st Place
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6.88University of Pennsylvania1.777.0%1st Place
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10.24Old Dominion University0.973.3%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University2.103.9%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University0.932.0%1st Place
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7.36Jacksonville University-1.386.5%1st Place
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9.91University of Rhode Island0.992.8%1st Place
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6.14Georgetown University2.208.6%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College2.104.8%1st Place
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12.46Clemson University0.121.7%1st Place
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12.54Christopher Newport University0.651.1%1st Place
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13.64Connecticut College0.521.0%1st Place
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10.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.853.4%1st Place
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15.3University of Michigan-0.640.9%1st Place
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12.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.291.8%1st Place
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11.56St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 25.8% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.2% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Tallman | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Cordelia Burn | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Emily Allen | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Piper Holthus | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 16.1% | 17.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 41.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 7.8% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.