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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.90+6.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.39+4.19vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+4.33vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.66+0.28vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+2.68vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.13+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.07+2.78vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.58vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.65-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-4.77vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-5.95vs Predicted
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14Tulane University1.65-1.43vs Predicted
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15University of Washington1.53-2.28vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.37-2.74vs Predicted
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17Florida State University1.37-3.74vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota0.34-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.19Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.33Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.28College of Charleston3.660.1%1st Place
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8.68Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.21Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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7.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.12University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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12.57Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.72University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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13.26Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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13.26Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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15.51University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Lynn | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lawson Willard | 14.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 21.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 15.0% | 20.7% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 57.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.