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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.09vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.66+3.25vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.07+8.01vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.39+2.37vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.90+2.89vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.15vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.42vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+0.13vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-1.56vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.82-1.79vs Predicted
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11Florida State University1.37+2.19vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.65-3.01vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania3.12-5.62vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.37-0.81vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.65-2.54vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.77-7.43vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.53-4.19vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota0.34-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.25College of Charleston3.660.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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6.37Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.15University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
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5.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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8.21Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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13.19Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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7.38University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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13.19Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.46Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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8.57Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.81University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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15.49University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lawson Willard | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 11.4% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 23.3% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 57.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.