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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+6.95vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.82+6.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+1.50vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+3.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.90+2.68vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.28vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.59vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.23-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania3.12-1.72vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.38-3.92vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-2.49vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.37+1.08vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.07-1.99vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.53-1.25vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.37-1.92vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.24-5.76vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.65-4.67vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota0.34-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.5Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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7.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.68Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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5.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.51Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.08Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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11.01University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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12.75University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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13.08Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.24University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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12.33Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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15.45University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.4% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 11.4% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 14.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 57.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.