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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+7.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+3.94vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+3.54vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+4.45vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania3.12+1.78vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.38+0.21vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.82+1.05vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50+1.08vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.65-0.13vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.82-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota0.34+4.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.03vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.57vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.07-3.07vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.37-2.00vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.65-3.72vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.53-4.41vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.37-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.94Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.54College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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6.21Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.05Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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9.08Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Wisconsin2.650.0%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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15.3University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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13.0Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.28Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
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12.59University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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13.0Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walden | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 57.9% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 22.0% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 22.0% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.