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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+7.96vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.82+5.97vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.38+3.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+2.99vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+2.83vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.50vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.59+0.70vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.37+4.19vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.23-3.54vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.38-4.86vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania3.12-5.09vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.65-4.18vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.37-0.81vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.07-4.03vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota0.34-0.73vs Predicted
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17University of Washington1.53-4.35vs Predicted
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18Tulane University1.65-5.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.97Connecticut College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.01Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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7.83Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.4University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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13.19Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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6.14Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.82University of Wisconsin2.650.1%1st Place
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13.19Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Miami2.070.0%1st Place
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15.27University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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12.22Tulane University1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 12.3% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Steven Leuck | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 12.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Spencer | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 22.7% | 14.4% | 0.0% |
| Richard McCann | 1.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 56.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 19.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Watts | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.