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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11+5.39vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.38+3.57vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.66+1.83vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+4.50vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38+0.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.85+4.79vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-2.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53+2.76vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.12-3.70vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59-2.75vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.24-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.67+0.87vs Predicted
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14Florida State University1.37-1.78vs Predicted
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15Florida State University1.37-2.78vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.82-8.56vs Predicted
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17University of Minnesota0.34-2.31vs Predicted
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18Tulane University0.20-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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5.57Georgetown University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.83College of Charleston3.660.1%1st Place
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8.5Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.46Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.79Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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5.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.1%1st Place
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11.76University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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6.3University of Pennsylvania3.120.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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13.87University of Miami0.670.0%1st Place
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12.22Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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12.22Florida State University1.370.0%1st Place
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7.44Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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14.69University of Minnesota0.340.0%1st Place
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14.96Tulane University0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Schoenherr | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Reiter | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawson Willard | 13.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph LaForgia | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Bartel | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Harper | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 21.3% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powell | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Stone | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 24.2% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Siwicki | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 21.6% | 38.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.