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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+8.00vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+8.13vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+6.61vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.62vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+3.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.19vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75+0.80vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University3.43+1.14vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.25vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.56-1.10vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-1.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+0.50vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University3.81-5.52vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.45-1.04vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-5.52vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-4.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.24-6.79vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.49-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.0Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.63Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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7.8College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.14Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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5.75Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.9Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.96Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.48Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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11.66Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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10.21Tufts University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Mack Fox | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% |
| Augie Dale | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Romain Screve | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 18.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.2% | 23.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.