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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.07+4.09vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.57+5.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00+6.20vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.16+5.31vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+0.72vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+0.35vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52+0.10vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.80-1.96vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83+0.94vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island-0.20+2.56vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.01-2.80vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.73-4.02vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.48-3.24vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.84-2.91vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston1.26-7.93vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College-0.13-3.31vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-0.96-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Stanford University2.0714.2%1st Place
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7.01Yale University1.578.8%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.005.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania1.164.2%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University2.1710.8%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College1.7110.6%1st Place
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7.1Old Dominion University1.527.9%1st Place
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6.04Georgetown University1.8010.3%1st Place
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.6%1st Place
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13.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.6%1st Place
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13.56University of Rhode Island-0.201.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.013.8%1st Place
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8.98Clemson University0.734.8%1st Place
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10.76Jacksonville University0.483.4%1st Place
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12.09Christopher Newport University-0.842.6%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston1.265.3%1st Place
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13.69Connecticut College-0.131.1%1st Place
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15.43University of Michigan-0.960.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Foley | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.8% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emily Doble | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lina Carper | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 16.2% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 14.7% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Laura Smith | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 6.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 14.9% |
| Callie Davis | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 41.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.