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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University2.23+6.03vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.99+3.00vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.82vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College2.24+3.04vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.70-1.42vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.33-1.74vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University1.95+0.86vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.01-2.97vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.60+2.42vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.04-2.25vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University1.61-2.19vs Predicted
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12Drexel University0.55-0.34vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.21-1.62vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland0.68-3.78vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-0.32-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03George Washington University2.230.1%1st Place
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5.0U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
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3.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
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7.04SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
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3.58Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
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4.26Georgetown University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.86Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
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11.42Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.81Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.66Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
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12.38Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
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11.22University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
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13.14William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Meredith Carroll | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| George Prieto | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 18.3% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brady Stagg | 20.8% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Eichler | 14.2% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 9.9% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Edward Doran | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 12.4% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 18.1% | 21.0% | 23.6% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.0% | 9.1% |
| Efe Brock | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.