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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+6.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.75+5.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+5.85vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.30+5.31vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.74vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.42vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.20+6.80vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53+0.38vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.05vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.56-1.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-0.06vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-3.33vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.67vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-5.11vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-2.11vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.89-4.80vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University3.43-7.98vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-6.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.51Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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7.72College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.85Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.58Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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13.8Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.94Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.89Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.89Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.2Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.02Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Augie Dale | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.9% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 30.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Romain Screve | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 19.5% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.