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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+6.70vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+7.08vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+5.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+6.97vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.76vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81+1.20vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.39vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97+2.66vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-0.46vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.30vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.96vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.56-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.41vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.92vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.15-5.03vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.46-3.05vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.20-3.13vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.56-9.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.08Jacksonville University3.430.0%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.97Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.2Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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5.61Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.66Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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11.59University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.97Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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12.95Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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13.87Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.02Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% |
| Romain Screve | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.4% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Walter Henry | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 20.4% |
| Christopher Keller | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 28.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.