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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.94vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.49+6.95vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+4.53vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.53+4.35vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.52vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.75+1.57vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.46+5.92vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.56+0.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.15+1.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.19vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University3.43-1.93vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-0.41vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.30-3.70vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-5.26vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.56-6.65vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-7.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-4.97vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.20-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.95Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.35Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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7.57College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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12.92Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.07Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.59Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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8.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.77Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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13.73Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 12.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Augie Dale | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Walter Henry | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 19.2% |
| Romain Screve | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
| Mack Fox | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% |
| Parker Loftus | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% |
| Christopher Keller | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.