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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.94vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+7.21vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+5.96vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89+7.03vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+7.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.53vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.08vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.53+0.48vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.81-1.75vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.49-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.02vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.75-4.06vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.20+0.66vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-4.70vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.12vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-5.77vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.56-8.48vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.56-9.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.21Jacksonville University3.430.0%1st Place
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8.96Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.03Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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12.81Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.25Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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7.94College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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13.66Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.23Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 12.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Walter Henry | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 20.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 14.1% |
| Augie Dale | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Keller | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 27.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Mack Fox | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Romain Screve | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.