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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+8.94vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+7.13vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.75+4.95vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+1.78vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+3.66vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.69vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+4.43vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24+1.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-0.48vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.18vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.47vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.49-4.32vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University3.43-5.17vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University3.81-7.59vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-6.49vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.46-3.70vs Predicted
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18Stanford University3.17-7.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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7.95College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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9.69U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.43Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.52Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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12.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.83Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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13.3Connecticut College2.460.0%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McCarthy | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Augie Dale | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 15.8% |
| Mack Fox | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Sean Segerblom | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Walter Henry | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 25.3% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.