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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+7.00vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University3.43+7.32vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+5.95vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+4.46vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81+2.45vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+3.97vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.49+1.78vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-2.22vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+0.76vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-0.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.30-1.20vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.17-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.10vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-5.42vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.45-1.88vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-6.51vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.73vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University2.89-6.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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9.32Jacksonville University3.430.0%1st Place
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8.95Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.78Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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10.64Stanford University3.170.0%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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8.58Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.12Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.49Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.17Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| CJ Mckenna | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 24.9% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Mack Fox | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.