← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.33+3.23vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+1.73vs Predicted
-
3University of Virginia3.01+1.99vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College2.24+3.06vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University1.95+2.88vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University2.23+1.17vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University2.04+0.61vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.99-2.90vs Predicted
-
9Hampton University0.60+2.41vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.70-6.47vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.61-2.15vs Predicted
-
12Drexel University0.55-0.29vs Predicted
-
13Princeton University0.21-0.60vs Predicted
-
14William and Mary-0.32-0.81vs Predicted
-
16University of Maryland0.68-4.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23Georgetown University3.330.2%1st Place
-
3.73St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.2%1st Place
-
4.99University of Virginia3.010.1%1st Place
-
7.06SUNY Maritime College2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.88Monmouth University1.950.0%1st Place
-
7.17George Washington University2.230.0%1st Place
-
7.61Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
5.1U. S. Naval Academy2.990.1%1st Place
-
11.41Hampton University0.600.0%1st Place
-
3.53Old Dominion University3.700.2%1st Place
-
8.85Christopher Newport University1.610.0%1st Place
-
11.71Drexel University0.550.0%1st Place
-
12.4Princeton University0.210.0%1st Place
-
13.19William and Mary-0.320.0%1st Place
-
11.13University of Maryland0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Eichler | 16.3% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 18.8% | 20.5% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stessing | 11.0% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schoene | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Paul Stevens | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Meredith Carroll | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| George Prieto | 11.2% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimannee Simon | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 11.0% |
| Brady Stagg | 20.2% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Miller | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Edward Doran | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 17.6% | 13.1% |
| Andrew Werner | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 11.5% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 22.9% |
| Efe Brock | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 42.2% |
| Andrew Rybczynski | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 8.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.