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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+4.53vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+3.21vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.52+4.29vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University-0.84+8.15vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.57+1.99vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.71+0.23vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University0.48+4.01vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.80-1.92vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.01-0.11vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College-0.13+3.76vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-3.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.00-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.96+2.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-0.45vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.16-5.59vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-5.98vs Predicted
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17Clemson University0.73-7.91vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Harvard University2.1711.8%1st Place
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5.21Stanford University2.0712.8%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University1.527.2%1st Place
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12.15Christopher Newport University-0.842.5%1st Place
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6.99Yale University1.577.6%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College1.7110.0%1st Place
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11.01Jacksonville University0.483.1%1st Place
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6.08Georgetown University1.8010.8%1st Place
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8.89Tufts University1.015.3%1st Place
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13.76Connecticut College-0.130.8%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston1.266.3%1st Place
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9.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.005.5%1st Place
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15.54University of Michigan-0.960.7%1st Place
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13.55University of Rhode Island-0.201.5%1st Place
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9.41University of Pennsylvania1.165.5%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.2%1st Place
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9.09Clemson University0.733.8%1st Place
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13.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Conde | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Laura Smith | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Audrey Foley | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| bella casaretto | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Emily Doble | 10.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 14.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Laura Slovensky | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Callie Davis | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 43.1% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 15.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Lina Carper | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Nilah Miller | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.