← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.75+7.05vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.24+3.98vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.56+5.77vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University2.89+7.31vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College1.95+9.57vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.49+2.85vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.53+1.73vs Predicted
-
8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+1.19vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.56-0.43vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University3.24+0.25vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.05vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.48-2.71vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.00vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.30-4.57vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.35-5.56vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University3.43-6.86vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-4.81vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University3.81-10.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.05College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
-
5.98Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
8.77Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
11.31Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
-
14.57Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
-
8.85Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
-
8.73Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
8.57Stanford University3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.25Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
-
9.29Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.43U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
-
9.44Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
9.14Jacksonville University3.430.0%1st Place
-
12.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
-
7.28Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 9.4% |
| William Bedford | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.8% | 41.7% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Hector Guzman | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Romain Screve | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 13.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.