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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.75+6.91vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+6.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+6.67vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.49+4.68vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24+0.80vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+3.23vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89+4.36vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.30+1.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+2.99vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-2.30vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.78vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-1.91vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-3.28vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-5.79vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University3.43-5.97vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-7.27vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-8.03vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.56-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.91College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston College3.350.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.8Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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11.36Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Naval Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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11.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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7.7Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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10.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.21Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.03Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.97Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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15.57Connecticut College1.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Jack Parkin | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Wade Waddell | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Hector Guzman | 6.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.5% |
| Parker Loftus | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 1.6% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 8.7% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Cecilia Moreira | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 11.8% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.