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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.49+8.03vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.59+6.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+8.56vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+1.83vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+4.28vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.30+3.64vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.75+0.71vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.81-0.59vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.24+0.89vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.13vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.39vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-3.13vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-5.67vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.56+0.65vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University3.43-6.87vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College3.56-8.36vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-8.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Boston University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University3.590.1%1st Place
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11.56Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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5.83Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.28Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.64U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.71College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.240.0%1st Place
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9.13Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.0%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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15.65Connecticut College1.560.0%1st Place
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9.13Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javier De urdanibia panos | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Jack Parkin | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Elkin | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% |
| Augie Dale | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 11.8% |
| Hector Guzman | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% |
| Mack Fox | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Cecilia Moreira | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 54.3% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.