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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.82+10.22vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+6.85vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+3.55vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.68vs Predicted
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53.69+2.31vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+3.46vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+2.36vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-0.84vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-0.39vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92+0.92vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.46+1.66vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.97-1.17vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-4.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-4.49vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-3.95vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.14-6.22vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.07-6.91vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-6.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.22Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.85College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.55Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.313.690.1%1st Place
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9.46Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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7.16Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.92Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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12.66Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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10.83Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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8.63Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.78Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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10.09Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.34University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| JC Hermus | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| William Logue | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% |
| Max Clapp | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% |
| Telmo Basterra | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 21.2% |
| Christian Filter | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
| David Eastwood | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.