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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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13.69+6.55vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+7.61vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.46+9.81vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.07+5.92vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.14+4.59vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72+1.21vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.39+1.61vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-0.33vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20+0.39vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.92+0.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-2.06vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-2.94vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.97-2.71vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.82-3.24vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-5.24vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.93-9.55vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.82-5.79vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.553.690.1%1st Place
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9.61St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
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12.81Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.61Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.39Boston College3.200.0%1st Place
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10.88Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.94Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.06College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.29Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.76Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.0%1st Place
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6.45Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.21Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JC Hermus | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Telmo Basterra | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 20.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| William Logue | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Max Clapp | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% |
| Christian Filter | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% |
| David Eastwood | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.