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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+6.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+7.86vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.93+3.63vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+4.71vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+3.66vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.07+4.09vs Predicted
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73.69+0.42vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97+2.49vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.42vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.85vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.11-0.95vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.35-2.71vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.92-2.41vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.82-3.13vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.14-5.23vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.46-3.22vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.82-5.69vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-8.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.55Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.86Boston College3.200.0%1st Place
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6.63Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.09Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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7.423.690.1%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.0%1st Place
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8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.110.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.59Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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10.87Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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12.78Jacksonville University2.460.0%1st Place
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11.31Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| William Logue | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% |
| JC Hermus | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Christian Filter | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Charles Miller | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Gage Schoenherr | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 6.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% |
| Max Clapp | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% |
| Telmo Basterra | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 21.4% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% |
| Quinn Wilson | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.